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Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.

STRLMarket cap $17BPrice $563.7

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorIndustrials

IndustryConstruction & Engineering

Builds the roads, foundations, and data centers powering America's infrastructure boom. Sterling shifted hard into e-commerce distribution centers and data centers, riding the AI buildout wave while traditional highway contractors got left behind.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+59%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+12%7

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+64%10

Rev CAGR (3y)+31%10

Rev CAGR (5y)+25%10

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+114%10

EPS Growth Y+2+31%9

EPS Growth Y+3+13%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin18%7

Net Income Margin13%6

Free Cash Flow Margin14%7

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.210

Efficiency

ROE39%10

ROA17%10

Earnings Stability1010

GEAR+VERY STRONG87

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)233

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)193

P/BV12.71

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd173

EV/EBIT Fwd214

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield2.8%4

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+16%10

3 month return-16%2

YTD return+84%10

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh56%2

1 year return+62%9

Long term

3 year return+636%10

5 year return+2288%10

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta2.11

Volatility85%1

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin14%7

Free Cash Flow Yield2.8%4

Quality

ROCE38%10

Earnings Stability1010

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.210

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

STRLSterling Infrastructure

Revenue FY25$2.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY STRONG96 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+12%7

Revenue, next 1Y+64%10

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+31%10

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+25%10

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+114%10

EPS growth, FY27E+31%9

EPS growth, FY28E+13%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 96% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 12%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.7/10

Revenue is set to grow 31%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.10/10

Revenue grew 12%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 31%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 25%/yr over five years.10/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 31%/yr vs revenue 31%/yr).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Hyper Compounder

A top-tier grower that's speeding up.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG69 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+16%10

3-month return-16%2

YTD return+84%10

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high56%2

1-year return+62%9

3-year return+636%10

5-year return+2288%10

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +636% over three years and +2288% over five, ahead of 90% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+16%) and so far this year (+84%).

WATCH

It's up 62% over the past year, but 44% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over three months (-16%).

BOTTOM LINE

Momentum Leader

Short- and long-term returns both rank among the best globally. The market is behind it — a core fit for momentum strategies. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming over three months.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

STRLSterling Infrastructure

Revenue FY25$2.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY STRONG96 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+12%7

Revenue, next 1Y+64%10

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+31%10

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+25%10

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+114%10

EPS growth, FY27E+31%9

EPS growth, FY28E+13%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 96% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 12%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.7/10

Revenue is set to grow 31%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.10/10

Revenue grew 12%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 31%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 25%/yr over five years.10/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 31%/yr vs revenue 31%/yr).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Hyper Compounder

A top-tier grower that's speeding up.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG69 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+16%10

3-month return-16%2

YTD return+84%10

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high56%2

1-year return+62%9

3-year return+636%10

5-year return+2288%10

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +636% over three years and +2288% over five, ahead of 90% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+16%) and so far this year (+84%).

WATCH

It's up 62% over the past year, but 44% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over three months (-16%).

BOTTOM LINE

Momentum Leader

Short- and long-term returns both rank among the best globally. The market is behind it — a core fit for momentum strategies. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming over three months.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community