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Shenwan Hongyuan Group Co., Ltd. (000166) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Shenwan Hongyuan Group Co., Ltd.

000166Market cap $15BPrice $0.6

Country🇨🇳China

SectorFinancials

IndustryCapital Markets

Runs one of China's largest brokerage and investment banking operations, connecting millions of investors to capital markets. Born from a merger of two century-old securities pioneers, it now ranks among the top players shaping China's financial markets.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-13%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+8%6

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+12%7

Rev CAGR (3y)+10%7

Rev CAGR (5y)+8%7

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+17%8

EPS Growth Y+2+11%7

EPS Growth Y+3+18%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin0%4

Net Income Margin39%10

Free Cash Flow Margin-210%1

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

Efficiency

ROE10%4

ROA2%3

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+STRONG76

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)99

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)89

P/BV0.910

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd09

EV/EBIT Fwd09

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield0.0%9

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-4%6

3 month return-3%5

YTD return-15%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh79%5

1 year return-16%3

Long term

3 year return+6%3

5 year return-14%3

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.48

Volatility20%10

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-210%1

Free Cash Flow Yield0.0%9

Quality

ROCE6%3

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

000166Shenwan Hongyuan Group Co.

Revenue FY25$3.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG68 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+8%6

Revenue, next 1Y+12%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+8%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+17%8

EPS growth, FY27E+11%7

EPS growth, FY28E+18%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 68% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 10%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

Revenue grew 8%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 10%/yr.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 17%/yr vs revenue 10%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A top-tier grower.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

000166Shenwan Hongyuan Group Co.

Total return Current−17.7%

Price return Current−28.1%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK28 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-4%6

3-month return-3%5

YTD return-15%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high79%5

1-year return-16%3

3-year return+6%3

5-year return-14%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

It's down 16% over the past year, now 21% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-4%) and over three months (-3%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+6.1% over three years and -14% over five), behind 70% of the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-15%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Shenwan Hongyuan. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

000166Shenwan Hongyuan Group Co.

Revenue FY25$3.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG68 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+8%6

Revenue, next 1Y+12%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+8%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+17%8

EPS growth, FY27E+11%7

EPS growth, FY28E+18%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 68% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 10%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

Revenue grew 8%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 10%/yr.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 17%/yr vs revenue 10%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A top-tier grower.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

000166Shenwan Hongyuan Group Co.

Total return Current−17.7%

Price return Current−28.1%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK28 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-4%6

3-month return-3%5

YTD return-15%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high79%5

1-year return-16%3

3-year return+6%3

5-year return-14%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

It's down 16% over the past year, now 21% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-4%) and over three months (-3%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+6.1% over three years and -14% over five), behind 70% of the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-15%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Shenwan Hongyuan. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community