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GF Securities Co., Ltd. (000776) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

GF Securities Co., Ltd.

000776Market cap $22BPrice $2.9

Country🇨🇳China

SectorFinancials

IndustryCapital Markets

GF Securities runs one of China's biggest brokerage and investment banking platforms, connecting millions of investors to stocks, bonds, and wealth management products. It's a key gatekeeper in China's capital markets, profiting whether investors win or lose.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-11%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+13%8

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+31%9

Rev CAGR (3y)+13%8

Rev CAGR (5y)+9%7

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-10%3

EPS Growth Y+2-6%3

EPS Growth Y+3+6%5

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin0%5

Net Income Margin40%10

Free Cash Flow Margin6%4

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

Efficiency

ROE11%5

ROA2%4

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+AVERAGE64

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)137

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)145

P/BV0.810

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd07

EV/EBIT Fwd07

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield0.0%10

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-8%3

3 month return-7%4

YTD return-8%4

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh78%5

1 year return-8%4

Long term

3 year return+47%5

5 year return+8%4

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.67

Volatility34%6

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin6%4

Free Cash Flow Yield0.0%10

Quality

ROCE4%4

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

000776GF Securities Co.

Revenue FY25$5.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG72 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+13%8

Revenue, next 1Y+31%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+13%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+9%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-10%3

EPS growth, FY27E-6%3

EPS growth, FY28E+6%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 72% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 13%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 70% of companies worldwide.8/10

Revenue is set to grow 13%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

Revenue grew 13%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 13%/yr.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over five years.7/10

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Earnings are set to fall even as revenue grows (EPS about -6%/yr vs revenue 13%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A top-tier grower. The one thing to watch: earnings are forecast to fall.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

000776GF Securities Co.

Total return Current46.3%

Price return Current19.3%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK27 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-8%3

3-month return-7%4

YTD return-8%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high78%5

1-year return-8%4

3-year return+47%5

5-year return+8%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+47% over three years and +7.6% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's down 8% over the past year, now 22% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-7%) and so far this year (-8%).

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-8%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming over the past month.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on GF Securities. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

000776GF Securities Co.

Revenue FY25$5.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG72 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+13%8

Revenue, next 1Y+31%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+13%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+9%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-10%3

EPS growth, FY27E-6%3

EPS growth, FY28E+6%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 72% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 13%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 70% of companies worldwide.8/10

Revenue is set to grow 13%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

Revenue grew 13%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 13%/yr.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over five years.7/10

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Earnings are set to fall even as revenue grows (EPS about -6%/yr vs revenue 13%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A top-tier grower. The one thing to watch: earnings are forecast to fall.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

000776GF Securities Co.

Total return Current46.3%

Price return Current19.3%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK27 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-8%3

3-month return-7%4

YTD return-8%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high78%5

1-year return-8%4

3-year return+47%5

5-year return+8%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+47% over three years and +7.6% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's down 8% over the past year, now 22% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-7%) and so far this year (-8%).

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-8%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on GF Securities. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community