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Guolian Minsheng Securities Co., Ltd. (1456) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Guolian Minsheng Securities Co., Ltd.

1456Market cap $6.74BPrice $0.5

Country🇨🇳China

SectorFinancials

IndustryCapital Markets

Runs brokerage, wealth management, and investment banking operations across China, connecting millions of retail investors to capital markets. Born from a landmark 2023 merger between two mid-sized securities firms, it's now racing to scale up against China's brokerage giants.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-40%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+44%10

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+6%5

Rev CAGR (3y)+6%5

Rev CAGR (5y)+5%4

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-57%1

EPS Growth Y+2+20%8

EPS Growth Y+3+10%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin0%3

Net Income Margin25%8

Free Cash Flow Margin-115%1

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

Efficiency

ROE4%3

ROA1%3

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+VERY WEAK12

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)184

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)164

P/BV0.910

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd04

EV/EBIT Fwd04

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield0.0%5

Dividend Yield2.0%5

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-10%2

3 month return-10%4

YTD return-32%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh56%2

1 year return-43%1

Long term

3 year return+10%3

5 year return+4%4

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.32

Volatility32%6

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-115%1

Free Cash Flow Yield0.0%5

Quality

ROCE3%3

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

1456Guolian Minsheng Securities Co.

Revenue FY25$1.2B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE47 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+44%10

Revenue, next 1Y+6%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-57%1

EPS growth, FY27E+20%8

EPS growth, FY28E+10%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 44%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 47% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Revenue grew 44%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 6%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 10%/yr vs revenue 6%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 57% next year.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth is only about average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

1456Guolian Minsheng Securities Co.

Total return Current1.4%

Price return Current−14.6%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK9 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-10%2

3-month return-10%4

YTD return-32%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high56%2

1-year return-43%1

3-year return+10%3

5-year return+4%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-10%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+10% over three years and +4.2% over five), behind 60% of the market.

It's down 43% over the past year, now 44% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-10%) and so far this year (-32%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Guolian Minsheng Securities Co., Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

1456Guolian Minsheng Securities Co.

Revenue FY25$1.2B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE47 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+44%10

Revenue, next 1Y+6%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-57%1

EPS growth, FY27E+20%8

EPS growth, FY28E+10%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 44%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 47% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Revenue grew 44%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 6%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 10%/yr vs revenue 6%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 57% next year.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth is only about average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

1456Guolian Minsheng Securities Co.

Total return Current1.4%

Price return Current−14.6%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK9 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-10%2

3-month return-10%4

YTD return-32%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high56%2

1-year return-43%1

3-year return+10%3

5-year return+4%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-10%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+10% over three years and +4.2% over five), behind 60% of the market.

It's down 43% over the past year, now 44% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-10%) and so far this year (-32%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Guolian Minsheng Securities Co., Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community