Loading stock…

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. (2238) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd.

2238Market cap $7.26BPrice $0.3

Country🇨🇳China

SectorConsumer

IndustryAutos

Manufactures and sells passenger vehicles across China through joint ventures with Toyota and Honda, plus its own Trumpchi and Aion brands. One of China's biggest automakers, it's betting big on EVs to fend off upstarts like BYD.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-34%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-5%2

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+15%7

Rev CAGR (3y)+9%7

Rev CAGR (5y)+14%8

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1Loss1

EPS Growth Y+2Loss1

EPS Growth Y+3Loss1

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin-16%1

Net Income Margin-11%1

Free Cash Flow Margin-20%2

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

Efficiency

ROE-10%1

ROA-6%1

Earnings Stability11

GEAR+VERY WEAK11

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)na–

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)na–

P/BV0.510

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd210

EV/EBIT Fwd010

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-44.4%1

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+8%10

3 month return+4%7

YTD return-43%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh51%1

1 year return-29%2

Long term

3 year return-34%1

5 year return-62%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.48

Volatility43%4

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-20%2

Free Cash Flow Yield-44.4%1

Quality

ROCE-12%1

Earnings Stability11

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

2238Guangzhou Automobile Group Co.

Revenue FY25$13.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE55 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-5%2

Revenue, next 1Y+15%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+9%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+14%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27ELoss1

EPS growth, FY28ELoss1

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 9%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over five years.8/10

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 55% of companies worldwide.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 5%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Top-Line Rocket

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

2238Guangzhou Automobile Group Co.

Total return Current−52.8%

Price return Current−67.3%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK20 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+8%10

3-month return+4%7

YTD return-43%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high51%1

1-year return-29%2

3-year return-34%1

5-year return-62%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+8%) and over three months (+4%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-34% over three years and -62% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 29% over the past year, now 49% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-43%).

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

A poor multi-year track record but a sharp recent rally. Momentum is turning up, yet the trend is young and unproven — it needs follow-through to confirm rather than fade. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community

Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

2238Guangzhou Automobile Group Co.

Revenue FY25$13.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE55 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-5%2

Revenue, next 1Y+15%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+9%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+14%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27ELoss1

EPS growth, FY28ELoss1

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 9%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over five years.8/10

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 55% of companies worldwide.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 5%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Top-Line Rocket

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

2238Guangzhou Automobile Group Co.

Total return Current−52.8%

Price return Current−67.3%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK20 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+8%10

3-month return+4%7

YTD return-43%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high51%1

1-year return-29%2

3-year return-34%1

5-year return-62%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+8%) and over three months (+4%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-34% over three years and -62% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 29% over the past year, now 49% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-43%).

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community