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Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co., Ltd (300999) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co., Ltd

300999Market cap $19BPrice $3.7

Country🇨🇳China

SectorConsumer

IndustryFood

Produces cooking oils, rice, flour, and packaged foods that fill kitchens across China under its Arawana brand. Backed by agribusiness giant Wilmar, it turns raw grain into the everyday staples nearly every Chinese household cooks with.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-13%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-2%2

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+12%7

Rev CAGR (3y)+10%7

Rev CAGR (5y)+10%7

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+12%7

EPS Growth Y+2+44%9

EPS Growth Y+3+48%9

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin2%2

Net Income Margin1%2

Free Cash Flow Margin-1%3

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA2.34

Efficiency

ROE4%3

ROA2%4

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+WEAK33

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)332

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)193

P/BV1.38

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd144

EV/EBIT Fwd253

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-1.9%2

Dividend Yield1.0%3

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-13%2

3 month return-1%6

YTD return-16%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh74%4

1 year return-24%2

Long term

3 year return-29%1

5 year return-66%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.39

Volatility25%8

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-1%3

Free Cash Flow Yield-1.9%2

Quality

ROCE4%3

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA2.34

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

300999Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co.

Revenue FY25$35.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE64 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-2%2

Revenue, next 1Y+12%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+10%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+12%7

EPS growth, FY27E+44%9

EPS growth, FY28E+48%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue is set to grow 10%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 10%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 10%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 44%/yr vs revenue 10%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 64% of companies worldwide.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 2%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

300999Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co.

Total return Current−77.2%

Price return Current−77.5%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK11 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-13%2

3-month return-1%6

YTD return-16%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high74%4

1-year return-24%2

3-year return-29%1

5-year return-66%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-1%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-29% over three years and -66% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 24% over the past year, now 26% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-13%) and so far this year (-16%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Yihai Kerry. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

300999Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co.

Revenue FY25$35.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE64 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-2%2

Revenue, next 1Y+12%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+10%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+12%7

EPS growth, FY27E+44%9

EPS growth, FY28E+48%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue is set to grow 10%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 10%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 10%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 44%/yr vs revenue 10%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 64% of companies worldwide.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 2%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

300999Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co.

Total return Current−77.2%

Price return Current−77.5%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK11 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-13%2

3-month return-1%6

YTD return-16%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high74%4

1-year return-24%2

3-year return-29%1

5-year return-66%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-1%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-29% over three years and -66% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 24% over the past year, now 26% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-13%) and so far this year (-16%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Yihai Kerry. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community