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China International Capital Corporation Limited (3908) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

China International Capital Corporation Limited

3908Market cap $18BPrice $2.6

Country🇨🇳China

SectorFinancials

IndustryCapital Markets

Runs one of China's top investment banks, advising on IPOs, M&A, and securities trading for the country's biggest state-owned enterprises. Born from a 1995 joint venture with Morgan Stanley, it still dominates China's cross-border deal-making.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-3%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+1%3

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+43%10

Rev CAGR (3y)+18%9

Rev CAGR (5y)+15%9

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+10%7

EPS Growth Y+2+6%6

EPS Growth Y+3+6%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin0%5

Net Income Margin38%10

Free Cash Flow Margin172%10

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

Efficiency

ROE10%5

ROA2%3

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+STRONG85

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)99

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)89

P/BV0.910

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd09

EV/EBIT Fwd09

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield0.0%9

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-6%4

3 month return-8%4

YTD return+4%5

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh86%7

1 year return-6%4

Long term

3 year return+49%5

5 year return+7%4

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.23

Volatility40%5

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin172%10

Free Cash Flow Yield0.0%9

Quality

ROCE8%3

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

3908China International Capital Corporation

Revenue FY25$4.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG83 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+1%3

Revenue, next 1Y+43%10

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+18%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+15%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+10%7

EPS growth, FY27E+6%6

EPS growth, FY28E+6%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 83% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 18%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.9/10

Revenue grew 0.5%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 18%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 15%/yr over five years.9/10

WATCH

Earnings are set to grow slower than sales (EPS about 6%/yr vs revenue 18%/yr), so margins are under pressure.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue grew 0.5%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Reaccelerating Grower

A top-tier grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the 3-year revenue record is weak.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

3908China International Capital Corporation

Total return Current104%

Price return Current80.9%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE36 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%4

3-month return-8%4

YTD return+4%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high86%7

1-year return-6%4

3-year return+49%5

5-year return+7%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+49% over three years and +7.2% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's down 6% over the past year, now 14% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%), over three months (-8%) and so far this year (+4%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Mixed Momentum

Horizons disagree or sit near the middle of the pack. Momentum investors may want a clearer trend before sizing up.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on CICC. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

3908China International Capital Corporation

Revenue FY25$4.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG83 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+1%3

Revenue, next 1Y+43%10

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+18%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+15%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+10%7

EPS growth, FY27E+6%6

EPS growth, FY28E+6%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 83% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 18%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.9/10

Revenue grew 0.5%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 18%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 15%/yr over five years.9/10

WATCH

Earnings are set to grow slower than sales (EPS about 6%/yr vs revenue 18%/yr), so margins are under pressure.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue grew 0.5%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Reaccelerating Grower

A top-tier grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the 3-year revenue record is weak.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

3908China International Capital Corporation

Total return Current104%

Price return Current80.9%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE36 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%4

3-month return-8%4

YTD return+4%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high86%7

1-year return-6%4

3-year return+49%5

5-year return+7%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+49% over three years and +7.2% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's down 6% over the past year, now 14% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%), over three months (-8%) and so far this year (+4%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Mixed Momentum

Horizons disagree or sit near the middle of the pack. Momentum investors may want a clearer trend before sizing up.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on CICC. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community