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Brightstar Lottery PLC (BRSL) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Brightstar Lottery PLC

BRSLMarket cap $1.83BPrice $10.0

Country🇬🇧United Kingdom

SectorConsumer

IndustryHotels & Leisure

Runs lottery systems and gaming technology for governments and lotteries worldwide, powering jackpots that shape headlines. Formerly known as International Game Technology, it prints tickets and terminals behind nearly every scratch-off and draw game you've ever played.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-38%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-1%3

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-0%2

Rev CAGR (3y)+2%2

Rev CAGR (5y)+2%2

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-24%2

EPS Growth Y+2+1%4

EPS Growth Y+3+36%9

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin24%8

Net Income Margin10%6

Free Cash Flow Margin-90%1

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA4.32

Efficiency

ROE16%7

ROA4%5

Earnings Stability22

GEAR+VERY WEAK8

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)263

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)136

P/BV2.26

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd69

EV/EBIT Fwd137

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-121.2%1

Dividend Yield9.2%10

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-10%2

3 month return-7%4

YTD return-32%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh61%2

1 year return-37%1

Long term

3 year return-54%1

5 year return-47%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.95

Volatility32%6

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-90%1

Free Cash Flow Yield-121.2%1

Quality

ROCE9%5

Earnings Stability22

Net Debt/EBITDA4.32

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

BRSLBrightstar Lottery

Revenue FY25$2.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK10 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-1%3

Revenue, next 1Y-0%2

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+2%2

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+2%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-24%2

EPS growth, FY27E+1%4

EPS growth, FY28E+36%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 2%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 0.9%/yr vs revenue 2%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 24% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 90% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 1%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Revenue is set to grow 2%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.2/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 2%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

BRSLBrightstar Lottery

Total return Current−43.2%

Price return Current−60.9%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK5 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-10%2

3-month return-7%4

YTD return-32%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high61%2

1-year return-37%1

3-year return-54%1

5-year return-47%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-7%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-54% over three years and -47% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 37% over the past year, now 39% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-10%) and so far this year (-32%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Brightstar Lottery PLC. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

BRSLBrightstar Lottery

Revenue FY25$2.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK10 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-1%3

Revenue, next 1Y-0%2

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+2%2

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+2%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-24%2

EPS growth, FY27E+1%4

EPS growth, FY28E+36%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 2%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 0.9%/yr vs revenue 2%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 24% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 90% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 1%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Revenue is set to grow 2%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.2/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 2%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

BRSLBrightstar Lottery

Total return Current−43.2%

Price return Current−60.9%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK5 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-10%2

3-month return-7%4

YTD return-32%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high61%2

1-year return-37%1

3-year return-54%1

5-year return-47%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-7%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-54% over three years and -47% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 37% over the past year, now 39% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-10%) and so far this year (-32%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Brightstar Lottery PLC. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community