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InterContinental Hotels Group PLC (IHG) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC

IHGMarket cap $24BPrice $160.5

Country🇬🇧United Kingdom

SectorConsumer

IndustryHotels & Leisure

IHG franchises and manages hotel brands like Holiday Inn and InterContinental across 100+ countries. It owns almost none of its 6,000+ properties, collecting fees instead while local owners shoulder the real estate risk.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+34%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+10%7

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-49%1

Rev CAGR (3y)-17%1

Rev CAGR (5y)-8%1

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+51%9

EPS Growth Y+2+9%6

EPS Growth Y+3+9%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin24%8

Net Income Margin13%7

Free Cash Flow Margin17%7

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA2.93

Efficiency

ROEna–

ROA14%9

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+WEAK26

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)223

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)232

P/BVna–

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd193

EV/EBIT Fwd194

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield3.8%5

Dividend Yield0.8%2

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+0%8

3 month return-3%5

YTD return+15%7

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh92%8

1 year return+32%8

Long term

3 year return+122%8

5 year return+160%8

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.76

Volatility25%8

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin17%7

Free Cash Flow Yield3.8%5

Quality

ROCE48%10

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA2.93

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

IHGInterContinental Hotels Group

Revenue FY25$4.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK9 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 1Y-49%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR-17%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR-8%1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+51%9

EPS growth, FY27E+9%6

EPS growth, FY28E+9%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.7/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 9%/yr vs revenue -17%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 91% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to shrink 17%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.1/10

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years, but it is set to shrink 17%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to shrink 8%/yr, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business heading into decline. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

IHGInterContinental Hotels Group

Total return Current256%

Price return Current214%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG79 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+0%8

3-month return-3%5

YTD return+15%7

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high92%8

1-year return+32%8

3-year return+122%8

5-year return+160%8

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +122% over three years and +160% over five, ahead of 70% of the market.

It's up 32% over the past year, but 8% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+0%) and so far this year (+15%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-3%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Momentum Leader

Short- and long-term returns both rank among the best globally, and the stock trades near its highs. The market is fully behind it — a core fit for momentum strategies.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on InterContinental. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

IHGInterContinental Hotels Group

Revenue FY25$4.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK9 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 1Y-49%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR-17%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR-8%1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+51%9

EPS growth, FY27E+9%6

EPS growth, FY28E+9%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.7/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 9%/yr vs revenue -17%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 91% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to shrink 17%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.1/10

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years, but it is set to shrink 17%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to shrink 8%/yr, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business heading into decline. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

IHGInterContinental Hotels Group

Total return Current256%

Price return Current214%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG79 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+0%8

3-month return-3%5

YTD return+15%7

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high92%8

1-year return+32%8

3-year return+122%8

5-year return+160%8

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +122% over three years and +160% over five, ahead of 70% of the market.

It's up 32% over the past year, but 8% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+0%) and so far this year (+15%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-3%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Momentum Leader

Short- and long-term returns both rank among the best globally, and the stock trades near its highs. The market is fully behind it — a core fit for momentum strategies.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on InterContinental. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community