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International Paper Company (IP) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

International Paper Company

IPMarket cap $17BPrice $32.1

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorMaterials

IndustryPackaging

Makes the boxes that ship America's stuff — from Amazon deliveries to fresh produce. As the world's largest containerboard and packaging producer, it turns trees into corrugated cardboard at a scale that touches nearly every supply chain in the country.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-28%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%4

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+3%4

Rev CAGR (3y)+3%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+3%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+10%5

EPS Growth Y+2+118%10

EPS Growth Y+3+18%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin4%2

Net Income Margin-14%1

Free Cash Flow Margin2%3

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA2.14

Efficiency

ROE-16%1

ROA-9%1

Earnings Stability22

GEAR+VERY WEAK10

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)146

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)98

P/BV1.29

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd87

EV/EBIT Fwd214

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield2.9%5

Dividend Yield5.8%10

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-14%1

3 month return-14%2

YTD return-15%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh66%3

1 year return-27%2

Long term

3 year return+6%3

5 year return-26%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.95

Volatility44%4

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin2%3

Free Cash Flow Yield2.9%5

Quality

ROCE3%2

Earnings Stability22

Net Debt/EBITDA2.14

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

IPInternational Paper

Revenue FY25$23.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK29 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+4%4

Revenue, next 1Y+3%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+3%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27E+118%10

EPS growth, FY28E+18%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue grew 4%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 3%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 71% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 3%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK6 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-14%1

3-month return-14%2

YTD return-15%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high66%3

1-year return-27%2

3-year return+6%3

5-year return-26%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+6.2% over three years and -26% over five), behind 70% of the market.

It's down 27% over the past year, now 34% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-14%), over three months (-14%) and so far this year (-15%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on International Paper. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

IPInternational Paper

Revenue FY25$23.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK29 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+4%4

Revenue, next 1Y+3%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+3%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27E+118%10

EPS growth, FY28E+18%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue grew 4%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 3%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 71% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 3%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK6 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-14%1

3-month return-14%2

YTD return-15%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high66%3

1-year return-27%2

3-year return+6%3

5-year return-26%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+6.2% over three years and -26% over five), behind 70% of the market.

It's down 27% over the past year, now 34% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-14%), over three months (-14%) and so far this year (-15%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on International Paper. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community