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TAL Education Group (TAL) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

TAL Education Group

TALMarket cap $7.08BPrice $12.8

Country🇨🇳China

SectorConsumer

IndustryConsumer Services

Runs after-school tutoring and learning centers across China, once serving millions of families before regulatory crackdowns gutted its core business. Now pivots toward learning devices and content, reinventing itself in real time under Beijing's watchful eye.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+15%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+43%10

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+24%8

Rev CAGR (3y)+19%9

Rev CAGR (5y)+13%8

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+51%9

EPS Growth Y+2-19%2

EPS Growth Y+3+26%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin12%5

Net Income Margin28%9

Free Cash Flow Margin20%8

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-4.010

Efficiency

ROE24%8

ROA15%9

Earnings Stability66

GEAR+VERY STRONG100

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)128

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)98

P/BV1.77

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd410

EV/EBIT Fwd610

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield9.0%9

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+8%10

3 month return+26%10

YTD return+17%7

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh95%10

1 year return+14%6

Long term

3 year return+42%5

5 year return+168%9

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.58

Volatility45%4

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin20%8

Free Cash Flow Yield9.0%9

Quality

ROCE9%5

Earnings Stability66

Net Debt/EBITDA-4.010

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

TALTAL Education

Revenue FY26$3.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG84 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+43%10

Revenue, next 1Y+24%8

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+19%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+13%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+51%9

EPS growth, FY28E-19%2

EPS growth, FY29E+26%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 84% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 43%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 19%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 13%/yr over five years.8/10

WATCH

Revenue grew 43%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 19%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 26%/yr vs revenue 19%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 19% in year 2.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

TALTAL Education

Total return Current−11.5%

Price return Current−11.5%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY STRONG93 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+8%10

3-month return+26%10

YTD return+17%7

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high95%10

1-year return+14%6

3-year return+42%5

5-year return+168%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +42% over three years and +168% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

It's up 14% over the past year, now sitting right at its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+8%), over three months (+26%) and so far this year (+17%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Momentum Leader

Short- and long-term returns both rank among the best globally, and the stock trades near its highs. The market is fully behind it — a core fit for momentum strategies.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on TAL Education Group. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

TALTAL Education

Revenue FY26$3.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG84 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+43%10

Revenue, next 1Y+24%8

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+19%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+13%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+51%9

EPS growth, FY28E-19%2

EPS growth, FY29E+26%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 84% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 43%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 19%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 13%/yr over five years.8/10

WATCH

Revenue grew 43%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 19%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 26%/yr vs revenue 19%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 19% in year 2.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

TALTAL Education

Total return Current−11.5%

Price return Current−11.5%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY STRONG93 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+8%10

3-month return+26%10

YTD return+17%7

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high95%10

1-year return+14%6

3-year return+42%5

5-year return+168%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +42% over three years and +168% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

It's up 14% over the past year, now sitting right at its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+8%), over three months (+26%) and so far this year (+17%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Momentum Leader

Short- and long-term returns both rank among the best globally, and the stock trades near its highs. The market is fully behind it — a core fit for momentum strategies.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on TAL Education Group. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community