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H World Group Limited (HTHT) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

H World Group Limited

HTHTMarket cap $13BPrice $41.9

Country🇨🇳China

SectorConsumer

IndustryHotels & Leisure

Runs and franchises thousands of hotels across China under brands like Hanting and Ibis, plus a growing international footprint. It's now one of the world's largest hotel operators by room count, betting big on budget and midscale travel.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+14%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+22%9

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+12%7

Rev CAGR (3y)+7%5

Rev CAGR (5y)+7%6

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+20%8

EPS Growth Y+2+11%7

EPS Growth Y+3+12%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin29%9

Net Income Margin19%8

Free Cash Flow Margin30%9

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.45

Efficiency

ROE38%10

ROA8%8

Earnings Stability66

GEAR+VERY STRONG95

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)146

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)126

P/BV6.33

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd115

EV/EBIT Fwd137

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield9.1%9

Dividend Yield4.1%8

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-5%5

3 month return+2%7

YTD return-7%4

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh77%5

1 year return+16%7

Long term

3 year return+28%4

5 year return-1%4

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.48

Volatility32%6

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin30%9

Free Cash Flow Yield9.1%9

Quality

ROCE16%8

Earnings Stability66

Net Debt/EBITDA1.45

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

HTHTH World Group

Revenue FY25$3.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE60 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+22%9

Revenue, next 1Y+12%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+7%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+7%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+20%8

EPS growth, FY27E+11%7

EPS growth, FY28E+12%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 22%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 80% of companies worldwide.9/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 12%/yr vs revenue 7%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 7%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Revenue grew 22%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 7%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 7%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

HTHTH World Group

Total return Current253%

Price return Current224%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE45 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-5%5

3-month return+2%7

YTD return-7%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high77%5

1-year return+16%7

3-year return+28%4

5-year return-1%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+2%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+28% over three years and -0.6% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's up 16% over the past year, but 23% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-5%) and so far this year (-7%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Mixed Momentum

Horizons disagree or sit near the middle of the pack. Momentum investors may want a clearer trend before sizing up.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on H World Group Limited. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

HTHTH World Group

Revenue FY25$3.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE60 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+22%9

Revenue, next 1Y+12%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+7%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+7%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+20%8

EPS growth, FY27E+11%7

EPS growth, FY28E+12%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 22%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 80% of companies worldwide.9/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 12%/yr vs revenue 7%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 7%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Revenue grew 22%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 7%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 7%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

HTHTH World Group

Total return Current253%

Price return Current224%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE45 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-5%5

3-month return+2%7

YTD return-7%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high77%5

1-year return+16%7

3-year return+28%4

5-year return-1%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+2%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+28% over three years and -0.6% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's up 16% over the past year, but 23% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-5%) and so far this year (-7%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Mixed Momentum

Horizons disagree or sit near the middle of the pack. Momentum investors may want a clearer trend before sizing up.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on H World Group Limited. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community