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Haidilao International Holding Ltd. (6862) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Haidilao International Holding Ltd.

6862Market cap $6.55BPrice $1.2

Country🇨🇳China

SectorConsumer

IndustryHotels & Leisure

Runs China's biggest hot pot restaurant chain, famous for theatrical service like noodle-dancing and free manicures while you wait. Diners don't just eat, they get entertained, which built a cult-like following across hundreds of locations worldwide.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-28%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+11%7

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+12%7

Rev CAGR (3y)+7%5

Rev CAGR (5y)+8%7

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+4%5

EPS Growth Y+2+10%7

EPS Growth Y+3+8%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin12%5

Net Income Margin9%5

Free Cash Flow Margin8%5

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.210

Efficiency

ROE42%10

ROA19%10

Earnings Stability77

GEAR+VERY STRONG91

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)108

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)98

P/BV4.54

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd510

EV/EBIT Fwd710

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield8.1%8

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-18%1

3 month return-12%3

YTD return-31%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh55%2

1 year return-24%2

Long term

3 year return-46%1

5 year return-58%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.76

Volatility37%5

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin8%5

Free Cash Flow Yield8.1%8

Quality

ROCE44%10

Earnings Stability77

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.210

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

6862Haidilao International Holding

Revenue FY25$6.2B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE59 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+11%7

Revenue, next 1Y+12%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+7%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+8%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+4%5

EPS growth, FY27E+10%7

EPS growth, FY28E+8%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 11%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.7/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 8%/yr vs revenue 7%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 59% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 7%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Revenue grew 11%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 7%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

6862Haidilao International Holding

Total return Current−38.3%

Price return Current−46.6%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK4 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-18%1

3-month return-12%3

YTD return-31%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high55%2

1-year return-24%2

3-year return-46%1

5-year return-58%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-46% over three years and -58% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 24% over the past year, now 45% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-18%), over three months (-12%) and so far this year (-31%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Haidilao International Holding Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

6862Haidilao International Holding

Revenue FY25$6.2B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE59 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+11%7

Revenue, next 1Y+12%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+7%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+8%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+4%5

EPS growth, FY27E+10%7

EPS growth, FY28E+8%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 11%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.7/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 8%/yr vs revenue 7%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 59% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 7%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Revenue grew 11%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 7%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

6862Haidilao International Holding

Total return Current−38.3%

Price return Current−46.6%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK4 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-18%1

3-month return-12%3

YTD return-31%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high55%2

1-year return-24%2

3-year return-46%1

5-year return-58%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-46% over three years and -58% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 24% over the past year, now 45% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-18%), over three months (-12%) and so far this year (-31%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Haidilao International Holding Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community