Loading stock…

Yum China Holdings, Inc. (YUMC) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Yum China Holdings, Inc.

YUMCMarket cap $14BPrice $41.8

Country🇨🇳China

SectorConsumer

IndustryHotels & Leisure

Runs KFC and Pizza Hut across China, operating over 14,000 restaurants in more than 1,900 cities. It's the exclusive licensee for both brands there, serving more customers daily than the entire population of Australia.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-4%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+7%6

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+9%6

Rev CAGR (3y)+7%5

Rev CAGR (5y)+7%6

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+20%8

EPS Growth Y+2+11%7

EPS Growth Y+3+8%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin11%5

Net Income Margin8%5

Free Cash Flow Margin8%5

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA0.37

Efficiency

ROE17%7

ROA10%8

Earnings Stability77

GEAR+VERY STRONG89

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)137

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)127

P/BV2.75

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd88

EV/EBIT Fwd108

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield6.6%8

Dividend Yield2.8%7

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-2%6

3 month return-1%6

YTD return-11%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh73%4

1 year return+1%5

Long term

3 year return-17%2

5 year return-24%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.48

Volatility25%8

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin8%5

Free Cash Flow Yield6.6%8

Quality

ROCE16%8

Earnings Stability77

Net Debt/EBITDA0.37

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

YUMCYum China Holdings

Revenue FY25$11.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE54 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+7%6

Revenue, next 1Y+9%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+7%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+7%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+20%8

EPS growth, FY27E+11%7

EPS growth, FY28E+8%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 11%/yr vs revenue 7%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 54% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 7%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Revenue grew 7%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 7%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 7%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

YUMCYum China Holdings

Total return Current75.5%

Price return Current60.0%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK28 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%6

3-month return-1%6

YTD return-11%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high73%4

1-year return+1%5

3-year return-17%2

5-year return-24%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

It's up 0.8% over the past year, but 27% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-2%) and over three months (-1%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-17% over three years and -24% over five), behind 80% of the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-11%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Yum China. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community

Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

YUMCYum China Holdings

Revenue FY25$11.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE54 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+7%6

Revenue, next 1Y+9%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+7%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+7%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+20%8

EPS growth, FY27E+11%7

EPS growth, FY28E+8%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 11%/yr vs revenue 7%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 54% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 7%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Revenue grew 7%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 7%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 7%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

YUMCYum China Holdings

Total return Current75.5%

Price return Current60.0%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK28 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%6

3-month return-1%6

YTD return-11%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high73%4

1-year return+1%5

3-year return-17%2

5-year return-24%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

It's up 0.8% over the past year, but 27% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-2%) and over three months (-1%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-17% over three years and -24% over five), behind 80% of the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-11%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Yum China. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community