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Pop Mart International Group Limited (9992) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Pop Mart International Group Limited

9992Market cap $25BPrice $19.2

Country🇨🇳China

SectorConsumer

IndustrySpecialty Retail

Designs and sells collectible blind-box toys and vinyl figures, turning impulse buys into a global obsession. Its Labubu characters spark resale mania on secondary markets, sometimes fetching prices ten times retail.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-45%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+99%10

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-2%2

Rev CAGR (3y)+6%4

Rev CAGR (5y)+11%8

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-14%3

EPS Growth Y+2+19%8

EPS Growth Y+3+10%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin46%10

Net Income Margin33%9

Free Cash Flow Margin18%8

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.510

Efficiency

ROE71%10

ROA51%10

Earnings Stability77

GEAR+STRONG84

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)156

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)126

P/BV7.42

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd116

EV/EBIT Fwd127

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield4.2%6

Dividend Yield1.8%5

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-3%6

3 month return-2%6

YTD return-18%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh53%2

1 year return-40%1

Long term

3 year return+583%10

5 year return+193%9

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.85

Volatility52%3

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin18%8

Free Cash Flow Yield4.2%6

Quality

ROCE89%10

Earnings Stability77

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.510

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

9992Pop Mart International Group

Revenue FY25$5.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE51 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+99%10

Revenue, next 1Y-2%2

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+11%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-14%3

EPS growth, FY27E+19%8

EPS growth, FY28E+10%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 99%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 11%/yr over five years.8/10

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 51% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Revenue grew 99%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 6%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 10%/yr vs revenue 6%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 14% next year.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth is only about average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

9992Pop Mart International Group

Total return Current87.7%

Price return Current82.9%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE48 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-3%6

3-month return-2%6

YTD return-18%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high53%2

1-year return-40%1

3-year return+583%10

5-year return+193%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +583% over three years and +193% over five, ahead of 90% of the market.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-3%) and over three months (-2%).

WEAKNESSES

It's down 40% over the past year, now 47% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-18%).

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Pop Mart. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

9992Pop Mart International Group

Revenue FY25$5.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE51 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+99%10

Revenue, next 1Y-2%2

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+11%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-14%3

EPS growth, FY27E+19%8

EPS growth, FY28E+10%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 99%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 11%/yr over five years.8/10

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 51% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Revenue grew 99%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 6%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 10%/yr vs revenue 6%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 14% next year.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth is only about average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

9992Pop Mart International Group

Total return Current87.7%

Price return Current82.9%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE48 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-3%6

3-month return-2%6

YTD return-18%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high53%2

1-year return-40%1

3-year return+583%10

5-year return+193%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +583% over three years and +193% over five, ahead of 90% of the market.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-3%) and over three months (-2%).

WEAKNESSES

It's down 40% over the past year, now 47% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-18%).

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Pop Mart. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community