Loading stock…

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

AGNC Investment Corp.

AGNCMarket cap $10BPrice $8.7

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorFinancials

IndustryMortgage REITs

Buys mortgage-backed securities guaranteed by the U.S. government, borrowing cheap to earn the spread. Pays out nearly all profits as dividends, making it a favorite for income investors chasing yields that often top 10%.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-6%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-217%1

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-20%1

Rev CAGR (3y)-10%1

Rev CAGR (5y)-6%1

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+5%5

EPS Growth Y+2-3%3

EPS Growth Y+3-1%3

Quality

Margins

EBIT Marginna–

Net Income Margin94%10

Free Cash Flow Margin37%10

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

Efficiency

ROE22%8

ROA2%4

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+AVERAGE50

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

100

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)610

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)610

P/BV1.09

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd010

EV/EBIT Fwd010

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield0.0%10

Dividend Yield16.6%10

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-16%1

3 month return-19%2

YTD return-10%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh79%5

1 year return-1%5

Long term

3 year return+48%5

5 year return+8%4

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.67

Volatility21%9

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin37%10

Free Cash Flow Yield0.0%10

Quality

ROCE19%4

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

AGNCAGNC Investment

Revenue FY25$1.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK2 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-217%1

Revenue, next 1Y-20%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR-10%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR-6%1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+5%5

EPS growth, FY27E-3%3

EPS growth, FY28E-1%3

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue fell 217%/yr over the last 3 years, and it is still set to shrink 10%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 98% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 217%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Revenue is set to shrink 10%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.1/10

Over five years revenue is set to shrink 6%/yr, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Earnings are set to fall along with revenue (EPS about -0.7%/yr vs revenue -10%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business whose decline is easing. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK20 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-16%1

3-month return-19%2

YTD return-10%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high79%5

1-year return-1%5

3-year return+48%5

5-year return+8%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+48% over three years and +8.4% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's down 0.6% over the past year, now 21% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-16%), over three months (-19%) and so far this year (-10%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming over the past month, over three months and so far this year.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on AGNC Investment. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community

Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

AGNCAGNC Investment

Revenue FY25$1.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK2 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-217%1

Revenue, next 1Y-20%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR-10%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR-6%1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+5%5

EPS growth, FY27E-3%3

EPS growth, FY28E-1%3

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue fell 217%/yr over the last 3 years, and it is still set to shrink 10%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 98% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 217%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Revenue is set to shrink 10%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.1/10

Over five years revenue is set to shrink 6%/yr, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Earnings are set to fall along with revenue (EPS about -0.7%/yr vs revenue -10%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business whose decline is easing. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK20 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-16%1

3-month return-19%2

YTD return-10%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high79%5

1-year return-1%5

3-year return+48%5

5-year return+8%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+48% over three years and +8.4% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's down 0.6% over the past year, now 21% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-16%), over three months (-19%) and so far this year (-10%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on AGNC Investment. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community