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Air China Cargo Co., Ltd. (001391) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Air China Cargo Co., Ltd.

001391Market cap $6.99BPrice $0.6

Country🇨🇳China

SectorIndustrials

IndustryAir Freight & Logistics

Flies cargo planes packed with everything from smartphones to fresh seafood across China's skies and beyond. As one of China's biggest air freight carriers, it keeps global supply chains moving when speed matters more than cost.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-37%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-0%3

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+12%7

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+3%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+6%6

EPS Growth Y+2+3%5

EPS Growth Y+3+2%4

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin12%5

Net Income Margin9%5

Free Cash Flow Margin3%3

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-1.110

Efficiency

ROE9%4

ROA7%7

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+AVERAGE47

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)185

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)174

P/BV1.87

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd97

EV/EBIT Fwd127

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield1.5%4

Dividend Yield2.3%6

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-7%4

3 month return-7%4

YTD return-34%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh59%2

1 year return-40%1

Long term

3 year return-57%1

5 year return-57%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.110

Volatility19%10

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin3%3

Free Cash Flow Yield1.5%4

Quality

ROCE11%6

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA-1.110

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

001391Air China Cargo Co.

Revenue FY25$3.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK28 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-0%3

Revenue, next 1Y+12%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+6%6

EPS growth, FY27E+3%5

EPS growth, FY28E+2%4

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 3%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr).

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 72% of companies worldwide.

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

001391Air China Cargo Co.

Total return Current−54.1%

Price return Current−54.6%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK7 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-7%4

3-month return-7%4

YTD return-34%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high59%2

1-year return-40%1

3-year return-57%1

5-year return-57%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-7%) and over three months (-7%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-57% over three years and -57% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 40% over the past year, now 41% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-34%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Air China Cargo Co., Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

001391Air China Cargo Co.

Revenue FY25$3.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK28 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-0%3

Revenue, next 1Y+12%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+6%6

EPS growth, FY27E+3%5

EPS growth, FY28E+2%4

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 3%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr).

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 72% of companies worldwide.

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

001391Air China Cargo Co.

Total return Current−54.1%

Price return Current−54.6%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK7 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-7%4

3-month return-7%4

YTD return-34%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high59%2

1-year return-40%1

3-year return-57%1

5-year return-57%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-7%) and over three months (-7%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-57% over three years and -57% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 40% over the past year, now 41% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-34%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Air China Cargo Co., Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community