Loading stock…

S.F. Holding Co., Ltd. (002352) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

S.F. Holding Co., Ltd.

002352Market cap $23BPrice $4.6

Country🇨🇳China

SectorIndustrials

IndustryAir Freight & Logistics

Runs China's largest express delivery and logistics network, moving millions of parcels daily across air, ground, and cold-chain routes. It's the company Chinese e-commerce quietly depends on to actually deliver the goods.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-18%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%5

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+11%6

Rev CAGR (3y)+8%6

Rev CAGR (5y)+4%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-4%3

EPS Growth Y+2+17%8

EPS Growth Y+3+11%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin5%3

Net Income Margin3%3

Free Cash Flow Margin5%4

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA0.37

Efficiency

ROE11%5

ROA5%6

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+STRONG71

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)146

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)117

P/BV1.58

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd510

EV/EBIT Fwd109

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield9.3%9

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-2%7

3 month return-4%5

YTD return-18%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh76%5

1 year return-22%2

Long term

3 year return-17%2

5 year return-51%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.110

Volatility19%10

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin5%4

Free Cash Flow Yield9.3%9

Quality

ROCE10%6

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA0.37

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

002352S.F. Holding Co.

Revenue FY25$44.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE46 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+4%5

Revenue, next 1Y+11%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+8%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-4%3

EPS growth, FY27E+17%8

EPS growth, FY28E+11%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 4%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 8%/yr from here.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 46% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 11%/yr vs revenue 8%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 4% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Reaccelerating Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the five-year outlook is thin.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

002352S.F. Holding Co.

Total return Current−16.3%

Price return Current−23.5%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK21 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%7

3-month return-4%5

YTD return-18%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high76%5

1-year return-22%2

3-year return-17%2

5-year return-51%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-2%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-4%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-17% over three years and -51% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 22% over the past year, now 24% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-18%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on SF Holding. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community

Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

002352S.F. Holding Co.

Revenue FY25$44.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE46 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+4%5

Revenue, next 1Y+11%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+8%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-4%3

EPS growth, FY27E+17%8

EPS growth, FY28E+11%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 4%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 8%/yr from here.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 46% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 11%/yr vs revenue 8%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 4% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Reaccelerating Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the five-year outlook is thin.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

002352S.F. Holding Co.

Total return Current−16.3%

Price return Current−23.5%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK21 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%7

3-month return-4%5

YTD return-18%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high76%5

1-year return-22%2

3-year return-17%2

5-year return-51%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-2%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-4%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-17% over three years and -51% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 22% over the past year, now 24% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-18%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on SF Holding. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community