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J&T Global Express Limited (1519) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

J&T Global Express Limited

1519Market cap $11BPrice $1.1

Country🇨🇳China

SectorIndustrials

IndustryAir Freight & Logistics

Ships packages across Southeast Asia and beyond, moving billions of parcels a year for e-commerce giants like Shopee. Built its empire on razor-thin margins and blistering speed, and now it's muscling into China's cutthroat delivery wars.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-13%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+19%9

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+28%9

Rev CAGR (3y)+21%9

Rev CAGR (5y)+22%10

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+242%10

EPS Growth Y+2+30%9

EPS Growth Y+3+25%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin6%3

Net Income Margin3%3

Free Cash Flow Margin4%4

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA0.76

Efficiency

ROE10%4

ROA4%6

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+STRONG77

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)137

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)98

P/BV2.66

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd78

EV/EBIT Fwd118

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield4.6%6

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-6%4

3 month return-5%5

YTD return-14%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh71%4

1 year return-5%4

Long term

3 year return-25%2

5 year return-25%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.76

Volatility37%5

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin4%4

Free Cash Flow Yield4.6%6

Quality

ROCE14%7

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA0.76

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

1519J&T Global Express

Revenue FY25$12.2B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY STRONG95 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+19%9

Revenue, next 1Y+28%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+21%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+22%10

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+242%10

EPS growth, FY27E+30%9

EPS growth, FY28E+25%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 95% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 19%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 80% of companies worldwide.9/10

Revenue is set to grow 21%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.9/10

Revenue grew 19%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 21%/yr.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 22%/yr over five years.10/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 30%/yr vs revenue 21%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Elite Compounder

A top-tier grower.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

1519J&T Global Express

Total return Current−45.1%

Price return Current−45.1%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK19 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%4

3-month return-5%5

YTD return-14%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high71%4

1-year return-5%4

3-year return-25%2

5-year return-25%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

It's down 5% over the past year, now 29% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%) and over three months (-5%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-25% over three years and -25% over five), behind 80% of the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-14%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on J&T Global Express Limited. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

1519J&T Global Express

Revenue FY25$12.2B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY STRONG95 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+19%9

Revenue, next 1Y+28%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+21%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+22%10

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+242%10

EPS growth, FY27E+30%9

EPS growth, FY28E+25%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 95% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 19%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 80% of companies worldwide.9/10

Revenue is set to grow 21%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.9/10

Revenue grew 19%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 21%/yr.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 22%/yr over five years.10/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 30%/yr vs revenue 21%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Elite Compounder

A top-tier grower.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

1519J&T Global Express

Total return Current−45.1%

Price return Current−45.1%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK19 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%4

3-month return-5%5

YTD return-14%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high71%4

1-year return-5%4

3-year return-25%2

5-year return-25%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

It's down 5% over the past year, now 29% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%) and over three months (-5%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-25% over three years and -25% over five), behind 80% of the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-14%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on J&T Global Express Limited. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community